Providing our call of the day <\/strong>is the president and chief executive of Stock Traders Daily and portfolio manager at Equity Logic, Thomas H. Kee Jr., who is gearing up for what could be a bullish period for stocks, and says that’s all about understanding volatile days. <\/p>\n Kee said he sees a shift coming, though not one where investors can \u201cbuy and hold for the next 10 years. <\/p>\n “This is a market oscillation. In volatile times, markets come down hard and then they go up, they come down and then they go up, \u201dhe told MarketWatch in a recent interview. And as markets have dropped hard, stocks are “ripe to come back.” <\/p>\n Kee warned clients of choppy times ahead last December, when the Fed began telegraphing they would be removing stimulus and \u201cthe demand fabricated component of the demand variable,\u201d hearkening the return of natural risk perceptions.<\/p>\n “What that means is volatility. In normal market conditions you have volatile conditions, \u201dhe said. “It’s not what people are used to because stimulus has been a component since most people have been in the market nowadays, especially all the new [investors]. ” Pre 2010, markets were naturally volatile, he reminded us. <\/p>\n But as the ECB is still buying aggressively and the Fed hasn’t quite reduced its balance sheet, meaning the fabricated demand is still there, he said.<\/p>\n While market volatility has left some investors unsure of what to do and panicky, Kee said he was not seeing signs of an immediate crash risk, based on his proprietary Evitar Corte Model, which uses FOMC monetary policy to define market crash risk.<\/p>\n What should investors do with this info? Kee has long been a fan of index ETF strategies, and suggested investors do the same, only buying or selling index ETFs – he prefers the highly liquid SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust SPY.<\/span> Since 2000, an investor putting money only in the S&P 500 ETF SPY Kee said there are two types of retail investors out there: those who like to trade and those who just want to hold and stay invested. The latter should just focus on being able to neutralize their portfolio and focus on a market crash model that tells them if that’s coming and make it more nimble. The other investor who likes to trade just needs to look at daily or weekly pivot points for the S&P 500. <\/p>\n Stock Traders Daily \/ Equity Logic Right now investing in SPY is better than cash, but last December cash was the better investment, he said. <\/p>\n Kee said that their Fibonacci calculator just triggered a buy for the S&P 500 at 3,884. \u201cThis calculator is adapted for the stock market, based on mathematical formulas that are governed by human emotion, and without stimulus that is exactly what the market is left with,\u201d he said. <\/p>\n The money manager’s message is clear: \u201cVolatiltiy is here, it’s coming and you better be ready for it and your portfolio better be prepared to handle it as well. Because it’s really difficult for people who have never experienced real volatility to handle volatility, \u201dhe said. <\/p>\n Twitter TWTR Robinhood HOOD Affirm AFRM Headed for his second term as Fed Chairman, Jerome Powell said in a Thursday interview that the Fed may not manage a \u201csoft landing\u201d for the economy, but was not \u201cactively considering\u201d a 75-basis point interest rate increase.<\/p>\n April import prices and May consumer confidence are ahead.<\/p>\n Europe’s plan to sanction Russian oil is struggling, as Hungary says it will prove too stressful for its economy. <\/p>\n Shanghai may be ready to loosen its COVID restrictions, but growing cases in Beijing have residents there on edge. North Korea said six have died and thousands are ill with an unexplained fever, after the country went public with its COVID outbreak. <\/p>\n Uncredited Stock futures ES00 YM00 NQ00 BX: TMUBMUSD02Y,<\/span> Read:<\/strong> Why is UST, LUNA crashing? Collapse of a once $ 40 billion cryptocurrency, explained<\/p>\n And:<\/strong> Here’s how much money you would’ve lost if you bought crypto during Matt Damon’s ‘Fortune Favors the Brave’ commercial<\/p>\n These were the top-searched tickers on MarketWatch as of 6 am Eastern Time:<\/p>\n Tahoe Lake divers strike 25,000 pounds of trash gold<\/p>\n A lemons Swiss and amaretti trifle is about to make British food history<\/p>\n Beyonc\u00e9 is apparently recession proof<\/p>\n Need to Know starts early and is updated until the opening bell, but sign up here to get it delivered once to your email box. The emailed version will be sent out at about 7:30 am Eastern.<\/strong><\/p>\n Want more for the day ahead? Sign up for The Barron’s Daily, a morning briefing for investors, including exclusive commentary from Barron’s and MarketWatch writers.<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n .<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" Markets are pointing higher for Friday, but it’s been a rough few days, with the S&P 500 facing a six-week losing streak, its longest in a decade. With a war raging in Europe, surging prices all over and uncertainty over what central banks can do about it, investors may not get that traditional lazy, hazy …<\/p>\n
\n He cautioned it will take much longer for investors with multiple stocks in their portfolios to control risk. <\/p>\n
\n and cash, moving to cash when his crash indicator was warning of high risk, but all other times investing in the S&P 500 ETF, would be beating the market by 530%, said Kee. <\/p>\n
\n <\/span>
\n <\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/p><\/div>\nThe buzz<\/h6>\n
\n is down 20% after Tesla chief Elon Musk said his $ 44 billion deal to buy the social-media company was \u201ctemporarily on hold\u201d, continent on calculations that ‘fake accounts’ make up less than 5% of users.<\/p>\n
\n is surging on news Sam Bankman-Fried, the chief executive of cryptocurrency exchange FTX Trading, took a 7.6% stake in the trading platform.<\/p>\n
\n shares are climbing after the buy-now pay-later group’s revenue beat and reassurance from executives.<\/p>\nThe markets<\/h6>\n
\n <\/div>
\n <\/span>
\n <\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/p><\/div>\n
\n are higher, along with bond yields BX: TMUBMUSD10Y
\n as the dollar DXY
\n pulls back. Oil prices are modestly higher and cryptocurrency selling has eased off, with bitcoin BTCUSD
\n back above $ 30,000, and strained stablecoin TerraUSD USTUSD,<\/span>
\n also slightly up.<\/p>\nThe tickers<\/h6>\n
Random reads<\/h6>\n