{"id":153793,"date":"2022-12-10T13:34:59","date_gmt":"2022-12-10T13:34:59","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/harchi90.com\/whos-bold-enough-to-fade-tom-brady-and-bill-belichick\/"},"modified":"2022-12-10T13:34:59","modified_gmt":"2022-12-10T13:34:59","slug":"whos-bold-enough-to-fade-tom-brady-and-bill-belichick","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/harchi90.com\/whos-bold-enough-to-fade-tom-brady-and-bill-belichick\/","title":{"rendered":"Who’s bold enough to fade Tom Brady and Bill Belichick?"},"content":{"rendered":"
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I’m in a NFL contest submitting five ATS picks each week. Through 13 weeks, those picks are officially a stinker at 31-34. Picking a single winner can be tough, much less picking five but it has been a good challenge. The lines are set spreads released each Wednesday and selections are submitted Friday night.<\/p>\n

In an effort to bounce back, I’m going with the \u201ckeep it simple\u201d approach. A good friend often says, \u201cThink long, think wrong.\u201d So I’m doing very little thinking and looking for teams with momentum, and either a strong defense or strong offense. Here are the five ATS contest picks for Week 14 in the NFL.<\/p>\n

The Lions offense is humming! Head coach Dan Campbell has been at the center of Detroit’s evolution. You can see my full reasoning for backing the Lions this week here:<\/p>\n

When I fade the Eagles, bad things happen. However, I’m not backing down. This is still a divisional game with the home underdog catching a full touchdown. The Giants may not have the same talent and skill sets as Philly, but they do have loads of fight and coach Brian Daboll continues to exceed expectations. You can look at the Eagles against the Titans and see that Philly’s defense stopped RB Derrick Henry, holding him to 30 rushing yards. What I see is that perhaps Henry is not 100%, or perhaps he is wearing down. It was Henry’s fourth straight game rushing for under 100 yards, and his third game in his last four under 53 yards. Giants RB Saquon Barkley and QB Daniel Jones are healthy and will test the Eagles’ rush defense that allowed Colts RB Jonathan Taylor 84 rushing yards and Texans RB Dameon Pierce 139 in its last two road games.<\/p>\n

The Cowboys lead in defense DVOA. Dallas has LB Micah Parsons, third in the league in sacks, and CBs Trevon Diggs and DaRon Bland, who are top 10 in the league in interceptions. Dallas has held four opponents to 10 points or less. How does Houston keep up against a Cowboys offense that is third in the league in offensive plays of 20-plus yards, leads the league in points per drive and has converted 20 of 23 red-zone trips. The Texans have only Pierce as an offensive weapon, but you can’t bring a knife to gunfight when the Cowboys’ defense is packing heat.<\/p>\n