{"id":174368,"date":"2023-01-01T16:53:18","date_gmt":"2023-01-01T16:53:18","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/harchi90.com\/the-way-of-water-to-cross-400m-us-at-new-years-weekend-box-office-deadline-3\/"},"modified":"2023-01-01T16:53:18","modified_gmt":"2023-01-01T16:53:18","slug":"the-way-of-water-to-cross-400m-us-at-new-years-weekend-box-office-deadline-3","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/harchi90.com\/the-way-of-water-to-cross-400m-us-at-new-years-weekend-box-office-deadline-3\/","title":{"rendered":"The Way Of Water’ To Cross $400M US At New Year’s Weekend Box Office \u2013 Deadline"},"content":{"rendered":"
\n\tSUNDAY AM, NEW YEAR’S DAY:<\/strong> Refresh for more analysis and chart <\/strong><\/em>While New Year’s Eve is typically a better moviegoing day than Christmas Eve, business was still down yesterday at -27% from Friday for all movies. That’s a similar decline to last weekend’s Friday-to-Christmas Eve (-26%), however New Year’s Eve made more than Christmas Eve, $27.9M to $22.2M. Moviegoing is expected to be +19% on New Year’s Day, and there will be an extra cushion in Monday, Jan. 2 as many typically have off in honor of the Sunday holiday. Per our sources, weather wasn’t an issue this weekend. <\/p>\n \n \tDisney\/20th\/Lightstorm’s Avatar: The Way of Water<\/strong> <\/em>did $18M<\/strong> yesterday taking its total running total to $400M<\/strong>. Revised 3-day is $63.4M<\/strong> (+2% from last weekend, great), and 4-day is $82.4M<\/strong> for a running total by EOD Monday of $440.5M<\/strong>. If those Disney estimates stick, Avatar 2<\/em> will be $400K shy of Rogue One<\/em>‘s running total through its first 18 days. it took Rogue One <\/em>another two weeks before it crossed the half billion mark stateside, the pic’s final total being $532.1M. Through end of Sunday, Disney is reporting a $1.37 billion <\/strong>running global total for Avatar 2. <\/em>Also by Monday, the 3D spectacle will pass the running domestic box office of Black Panther: Wakanda Forever <\/em>($439.6M). By hitting $400M yesterday, Avatar 2 <\/em>officially becomes the third Disney title to cross that threshold after Black Panther 2 <\/em>and Doctor Strange 2.<\/em><\/p>\n \n \tRivals got excited and over-forecasted Avatar 2<\/em> for the 3-day and 4-day stretch believing Saturday would be a $19.6M-$19.8M day. Again, today and Monday could put the James Cameron-directed, Jon Landau produced sequel back on course to wild money. <\/p>\n \n \tImax auditoriums added $8.4M to this weekend’s gross, -6% from last weekend and repping 13.2% of 3 day ticket sales. Imax has racked up $55.3M from Avatar 2 <\/em>so far in North America. <\/p>\n \n \tMORE\u2026.<\/p>\n \n\tSATURDAY AM:<\/strong> Avatar: The Way of Water<\/strong><\/em> is looking fantastic in its third weekend after Friday beat its own evening estimates with $24.4M<\/strong>, +27% from a week ago. That puts the James Cameron movie on a run for a $67.8M<\/strong> 3-day weekend, +7% from last weekend’s Christmas period, and a potential 4-day between $87M-$92M per industry estimates. <\/p>\n \n \tOn the high end of that range, Avatar 2 <\/em>could see a 4% dip from its Dec. 23-26 take of $95.6M. in that range, Avatar 2<\/em> by Monday would outstrip the 18-day running total of its comp, 2016’s Rogue One: A Star Wars Story, <\/em>which had $440.9M <\/strong>by that point in time with a total between $450M-$446M<\/strong>. By Monday, Avatar 2 <\/em>also could best the running total of Black Panther: Wakanda Forever<\/em>that pic rising its total to <\/em>$440M. One conservative estimate has Avatar 2<\/em>‘s third session at $77M<\/strong> over 4 days, which would get it to $435.1M<\/strong>and see it 1% behind Rogue One <\/em>by EOD Monday. <\/em><\/p>\n \n\tAvatar 2<\/em> is ringing in a healthy New Year for exhibition with a total overall domestic weekend marketplace of $104.2M, which is 5% higher than New Year’s weekend 2022, when Spider-Man: No Way Home <\/em>led all titles to $98.9M.<\/p>\n \n\tRELATED: ‘Avatar: The Way Of Water’ Tops $810M Overseas On Way To $1.3B+ Global Through Sunday <\/strong><\/p>\n \n \ttogether with a Black Panther: Wakanda Forever<\/em>‘s eighth Friday of $1.8M, Disney, along with all the money from its Searchlight and 20th Century Studios titles, rises to $1.96 billion at the 2022 domestic box office. You can read more about our look back at the box office year here. <\/p>\n