{"id":79737,"date":"2022-09-27T15:29:39","date_gmt":"2022-09-27T15:29:39","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/harchi90.com\/first-read-of-the-race-to-the-95th-oscars-the-hollywood-reporter\/"},"modified":"2022-09-27T15:29:39","modified_gmt":"2022-09-27T15:29:39","slug":"first-read-of-the-race-to-the-95th-oscars-the-hollywood-reporter","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/harchi90.com\/first-read-of-the-race-to-the-95th-oscars-the-hollywood-reporter\/","title":{"rendered":"First Read of the Race to the 95th Oscars \u2013 The Hollywood Reporter"},"content":{"rendered":"<div>\n<p class=\"paragraph larva \/\/  a-font-body-m     \">\n\t<strong>PLEASE NOTE:<\/strong> This forecast, assembled by <em>The Hollywood Reporter<\/em>&#8216;s executive editor of awards Scott Feinberg, reflects his best attempt to predict the behavior of the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences, <em>note<\/em> his personal preferences.  He arrives at these standings by drawing upon consultations with voters and industry insiders, analysis of marketing and awards campaigns, results of awards ceremonies that precede the Oscars and the history of the Oscars ceremony itself.  There will be regular updates to reflect new developments.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph larva \/\/  a-font-body-m     \">\n<p>\t* * *<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph larva \/\/  a-font-body-m     \">\n\t<strong>*BEST PICTURE*<\/strong><\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph larva \/\/  a-font-body-m     \">\n\t<strong><em>frontrunners<\/em><\/strong><br \/><em>The Fabelmans<\/em> (Universal)<br \/><em>Top Gun: Maverick<\/em> (Paramount)<br \/><em>Everything Everywhere All at Once<\/em> (A24)<br \/><em>The Banshees of Inisherin<\/em> (Searchlight)<br \/><em>Women Talking<\/em> (UAR)<br \/><em>Elvis<\/em> (Warner Bros.)<br \/><em>The Woman King<\/em> (Sony)<br \/><em>She Said<\/em> (Universal)<br \/><em>Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery<\/em> (Netflix)<br \/><em>tar<\/em> (Focus)<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph larva \/\/  a-font-body-m     \">\n\t<strong><em>Major Threats<\/em><\/strong><br \/><em>Till<\/em> (UAR)<br \/><em>Close<\/em> (A24)<br \/><em>Triangle of Sadness<\/em> (Neon)<br \/><em>Good Night Oppy<\/em> (Amazon)<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph larva \/\/  a-font-body-m     \">\n\t<strong><em>Possibilities<\/em><\/strong><br \/><em>The Whale<\/em> (A24)<br \/><em>Empire of Light<\/em> (Searchlight)<br \/><em>Armageddon Time<\/em> (Focus)<br \/><em>nope<\/em> (Universal)<br \/><em>The Good Nurse<\/em> (Netflix)<br \/><em>Lady Chatterley&#8217;s Lover<\/em> (Netflix)<br \/><em>The Inspection<\/em> (A24)<br \/><em>white noise<\/em> (Netflix)<br \/><em>The Last<\/em> (Sony Classics)<br \/><em>RRR<\/em> (Variance)<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph larva \/\/  a-font-body-m     \">\n\t<strong><em>Still to See<\/em><\/strong><br \/><em>Avatar: The Way of Water<\/em> (Fox)<br \/><em>Babylon<\/em> (Paramount)<br \/><em>Black Panther: Wakanda Forever<\/em> (Disney)<br \/><em>pinocchio<\/em> (Netflix)<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph larva \/\/  a-font-body-m     \">\n\t<strong>*BEST DIRECTOR*<\/strong><\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph larva \/\/  a-font-body-m     \">\n\t<strong><em>frontrunners<\/em><\/strong><br \/>Steven Spielberg (<em>The Fabelmans<\/em>)<br \/>Sarah Polley (<em>Women Talking<\/em>)<br \/>Daniel Scheinert &#038; Daniel Kwan (<em>Everything Everywhere All at Once<\/em>)<br \/>Todd Field (<em>tar<\/em>)<br \/>Gina Prince-Bythewood (<em>The Woman King<\/em>)<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph larva \/\/  a-font-body-m     \">\n\t<strong><em>Major Threats<\/em><\/strong><br \/>Park Chan-wook (<em>Decision to Leave<\/em>)<br \/>Martin McDonagh (<em>The Banshees of Inisherin<\/em>)<br \/>Luke Dhont (<em>Close<\/em>)<br \/>Ruben Ostlund (<em>Triangle of Sadness<\/em>)<br \/>Maria Schrader (<em>She Said<\/em>)<br \/>Chinoye Chukwu (<em>Till<\/em>)<br \/>Baz Luhrmann (<em>Elvis<\/em>)<br \/>Ryan Johnson (<em>Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery<\/em>)<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph larva \/\/  a-font-body-m     \">\n\t<strong><em>Possibilities<\/em><\/strong><br \/>James Gray (<em>Armageddon Time<\/em>)<br \/>Darren Aronofsky (<em>The Whale<\/em>)<br \/>Sam Mendes (<em>Empire of Light<\/em>)<br \/>Jordan Peele (<em>nope<\/em>)<br \/>Joseph Kosinski (<em>Top Gun: Maverick<\/em>)<br \/>Tobias Lindholm (<em>The Good Nurse<\/em>)<br \/>Noah Baumbach (<em>white noise<\/em>)<br \/>Alejandro G. Inarritu (<em>bardo<\/em>)<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph larva \/\/  a-font-body-m     \">\n\t<strong><em>Still to See<\/em><\/strong><br \/>James Cameron (<em>Avatar: The Way of Water<\/em>)<br \/>Damien Chazelle (<em>Babylon<\/em>)<br \/>Ryan Coogler (<em>Black Panther: Wakanda Forever<\/em>)<br \/>Guillermo del Toro (<em>pinocchio<\/em>)<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph larva \/\/  a-font-body-m     \">\n\t<strong>*BEST ACTOR*<\/strong><\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph larva \/\/  a-font-body-m     \">\n\t<strong><em>frontrunners<\/em><\/strong><br \/>Brendan Fraser (<em>The Whale<\/em>)<br \/>Austin Butler (<em>Elvis<\/em>)<br \/>Colin Farrell (<em>The Banshees of Inisherin<\/em>)<br \/>Tom Cruise (<em>Top Gun: Maverick<\/em>)<br \/>Adam Sandler (<em>Hustle<\/em>)<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph larva \/\/  a-font-body-m     \">\n\t<strong><em>Major Threats<\/em><\/strong><br \/>Bill Nighy (<em>living<\/em>)<br \/>Gabriel LaBelle (<em>The Fabelmans<\/em>)<br \/>Jeremy Pope (<em>The Inspection<\/em>)<br \/>Jonathan Majors (<em>devotion<\/em>)<br \/>Hugh Jackman (<em>The Last<\/em>)<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph larva \/\/  a-font-body-m     \">\n\t<strong><em>Possibilities<\/em><\/strong><br \/>Song Kang Ho (<em>broker<\/em>)<br \/>Park Hae-il (<em>Decision to Leave<\/em>)<br \/>Eden Dambrine (<em>Close<\/em>)<br \/>Adam Driver (<em>white noise<\/em>)<br \/>Cooper Raiff (<em>Cha Cha Real Smooth<\/em>)<br \/>Daniel Gimenez Cacho (<em>bardo<\/em>)<br \/>Nicolas Cage (<em>Butcher&#8217;s Crossing<\/em>)<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph larva \/\/  a-font-body-m     \">\n\t<strong><em>Still to See<\/em><\/strong><br \/>Christian Bale (<em>The Pale Blue Eye<\/em>)<br \/>Diego Calva (<em>Babylon<\/em>)<br \/>Winston Duke (<em>Black Panther: Wakanda Forever<\/em>)<br \/>Tom Hanks (<em>A Man Called Otto<\/em>)<br \/>Sam Worthington (<em>Avatar: The Way of Water<\/em>)<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph larva \/\/  a-font-body-m     \">\n\t<strong>*BEST ACTRESS*<\/strong><\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph larva \/\/  a-font-body-m     \">\n\t<strong><em>frontrunners<\/em><\/strong><br \/>Michelle Yeoh (<em>Everything Everywhere All at Once<\/em>)<br \/>Michelle Williams (<em>The Fabelmans<\/em>)<br \/>Cate Blanchett (<em>tar<\/em>)<br \/>Viola Davis (<em>The Woman King<\/em>)<br \/>Olivia Colman (<em>Empire of Light<\/em>)<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph larva \/\/  a-font-body-m     \">\n\t<strong><em>Major Threats<\/em><\/strong><br \/>Danielle Deadwyler (<em>Till<\/em>)<br \/>Ana de Armas (<em>blonde<\/em>)<br \/>Rooney Mara (<em>Women Talking<\/em>)<br \/>Jessica Chastain (<em>The Good Nurse<\/em>)<br \/>Carey Mulligan (<em>She Said<\/em>)<br \/>Zoe Kazan (<em>She Said<\/em>)<br \/>Vicky Krieps (<em>corsage<\/em>)<br \/>Lea Seydoux (<em>One Fine Morning<\/em>)<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph larva \/\/  a-font-body-m     \">\n\t<strong><em>Possibilities<\/em><\/strong><br \/>Emma Corrin (<em>Lady Chatterley&#8217;s Lover<\/em>)<br \/>Jennifer Lawrence (<em>causeway<\/em>)<br \/>Emma Thompson (<em>Good Luck to You, Leo Grande<\/em>)<br \/>Mia Goth (<em>pearls<\/em>)<br \/>Keke Palmer (<em>nope<\/em>)<br \/>Tang Wei (<em>Decision to Leave<\/em>)<br \/>Florence Pugh (<em>The Wonder<\/em>)<br \/>Florence Pugh (<em>Don&#8217;t Worry Darling<\/em>)<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph larva \/\/  a-font-body-m     \">\n\t<strong><em>Still to See<\/em><\/strong><br \/>Naomi Ackie (<em>I Wanna Dance with Somebody<\/em>)<br \/>Anna Diop (<em>nanny<\/em>)<br \/>Margot Robbie (<em>Babylon<\/em>)<br \/>Sigourney Weaver (<em>Avatar: The Way of Water<\/em>)<br \/>Letitia Wright (<em>Black Panther: Wakanda Forever<\/em>)<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph larva \/\/  a-font-body-m     \">\n\t<strong>*BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR*<\/strong><\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph larva \/\/  a-font-body-m     \">\n\t<strong><em>frontrunners<\/em><\/strong><br \/>Ke Huy Quan (<em>Everything Everywhere All at Once<\/em>)<br \/>Paul Dano (<em>The Fabelmans<\/em>)<br \/>Judd Hirsch (<em>The Fabelmans<\/em>)<br \/>Brendan Gleeson (<em>The Banshees of Inisherin<\/em>)<br \/>Eddie Redmayne (<em>The Good Nurse<\/em>)<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph larva \/\/  a-font-body-m     \">\n\t<strong><em>Major Threats<\/em><\/strong><br \/>Jeremy Strong (<em>Armageddon Time<\/em>)<br \/>Andr\u00e9 Braugher (<em>She Said<\/em>)<br \/>Ben Whishaw (<em>Women Talking<\/em>)<br \/>Michael Ward (<em>Empire of Light<\/em>)<br \/>Bokeem Woodbine (<em>The Inspection<\/em>)<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph larva \/\/  a-font-body-m     \">\n\t<strong><em>Possibilities<\/em><\/strong><br \/>Anthony Hopkins (<em>Armageddon Time<\/em>)<br \/>Brian Tyree Henry (<em>causeway<\/em>)<br \/>Jack O&#8217;Connell (<em>Lady Chatterley&#8217;s Lover<\/em>)<br \/>Woody Harrelson (<em>Triangle of Sadness<\/em>)<br \/>Igor Van Dessel (<em>Close<\/em>)<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph larva \/\/  a-font-body-m     \">\n\t<strong><em>Still to See<\/em><\/strong><br \/>Harry Melling (<em>The Pale Blue Eye<\/em>)<br \/>Brad Pitt (<em>Babylon<\/em>)<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph larva \/\/  a-font-body-m     \">\n\t<strong>*BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS*<\/strong><\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph larva \/\/  a-font-body-m     \">\n\t<strong><em>frontrunners<\/em><\/strong><br \/>Jamie Lee Curtis (<em>Everything Everywhere All at Once<\/em>)<br \/>Stephanie Hsu (<em>Everything Everywhere All at Once<\/em>)<br \/>Claire Foy (<em>Women Talking<\/em>)<br \/>Jessie Buckley (<em>Women Talking<\/em>)<br \/>Thuso Mbedu (<em>The Woman King<\/em>)<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph larva \/\/  a-font-body-m     \">\n\t<strong><em>Major Threats<\/em><\/strong><br \/>Dolly De Leon (<em>Triangle of Sadness<\/em>)<br \/>Kerry Condon (<em>The Banshees of Inisherin<\/em>)<br \/>Gabrielle Union (<em>The Inspection<\/em>)<br \/>Janelle Monae (<em>Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery<\/em>)<br \/>Jennifer Ehle (<em>She Said<\/em>)<br \/>Samantha Morton (<em>She Said<\/em>)<br \/>Patricia Clarkson (<em>She Said<\/em>)<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph larva \/\/  a-font-body-m     \">\n\t<strong><em>Possibilities<\/em><\/strong><br \/>Anne Hathaway (<em>Armageddon Time<\/em>)<br \/>Judith Ivey (<em>Women Talking<\/em>)<br \/>Nina Hoss (<em>tar<\/em>)<br \/>Sadie Sink (<em>The Whale<\/em>)<br \/>Greta Gerwig (<em>white noise<\/em>)<br \/>Laura Dern (<em>The Last<\/em>)<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph larva \/\/  a-font-body-m     \">\n\t<strong><em>Still to See<\/em><\/strong><br \/>Angela Bassett (<em>Black Panther: Wakanda Forever<\/em>)<br \/>Michelle Monaghan (<em>nanny<\/em>)<br \/>Tamara Tunie (<em>I Wanna Dance with Somebody<\/em>)<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph larva \/\/  a-font-body-m     \">\n\t<strong>*BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY*<\/strong><\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph larva \/\/  a-font-body-m     \">\n\t<strong><em>frontrunners<\/em><\/strong><br \/><em>Women Talking<\/em> (Sarah Polley)<br \/><em>Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery<\/em> (Rian Johnson)<br \/><em>She Said<\/em> (Rebecca Lenkiewicz)<br \/><em>The Whale<\/em> (Samuel D. Hunter)<br \/><em>The Good Nurse<\/em> (Krysty Wilson-Cairns)<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph larva \/\/  a-font-body-m     \">\n\t<strong><em>Major Threats<\/em><\/strong><br \/><em>Lady Chatterley&#8217;s Lover<\/em> (David Magee)<br \/><em>Top Gun: Maverick<\/em> (Peter Craig, Ehren Kruger, Justin Marks, Christopher McQuarrie &#038; Eric Warren Singer)<br \/><em>The Wonder<\/em> (Alice Birch &#038; Sebastian Lelio)<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph larva \/\/  a-font-body-m     \">\n\t<strong><em>Possibilities<\/em><\/strong><br \/><em>white noise<\/em> (Noah Baumbach)<br \/><em>living<\/em> (Kazuo Ishiguro)<br \/><em>The Last<\/em> (Christopher Hampton)<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph larva \/\/  a-font-body-m     \">\n\t<strong><em>Still to See<\/em><\/strong><br \/><em>Avatar: The Way of Water<\/em> (James Cameron &#038; Josh Friedman)<br \/><em>Black Panther: Wakanda Forever<\/em> (Joe Robert Cole &#038; Ryan Coogler)<br \/><em>Catherine Called Birdy<\/em> (Lena Dunham)<br \/><em>pinocchio<\/em> (Guillermo del Toro &#038; Patrick McHale)<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph larva \/\/  a-font-body-m     \">\n\t<strong>*BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY*<\/strong><\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph larva \/\/  a-font-body-m     \">\n\t<strong><em>frontrunners<\/em><\/strong><br \/><em>Everything Everywhere All at Once<\/em> (Daniel Scheinert &#038; Daniel Kwan)<br \/><em>The Fabelmans<\/em> (Tony Kushner &#038; Steven Spielberg)<br \/><em>The Banshees of Inisherin<\/em> (Martin McDonagh)<br \/><em>The Woman King<\/em> (Dan Stevens)<br \/><em>Triangle of Sadness<\/em> (Ruben Ostlund)<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph larva \/\/  a-font-body-m     \">\n\t<strong><em>Major Threats<\/em><\/strong><br \/><em>tar<\/em> (Todd Field)<br \/><em>nope<\/em> (Jordan Peele)<br \/><em>Close<\/em> (Lukas Dhont &#038; Angelo Tijssens)<br \/><em>Till<\/em> (Keith Beauchamp, Chinonye Chukwu &#038; Michael Reilly)<br \/><em>Decision to Leave<\/em> (Park Chan-wook &#038; Seo-kyeong Jeong)<br \/><em>Armageddon Time<\/em> (James Gray)<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph larva \/\/  a-font-body-m     \">\n\t<strong><em>Possibilities<\/em><\/strong><br \/><em>Cha Cha Real Smooth<\/em> (Cooper Raiff)<br \/><em>Elvis<\/em> (Jeremy Doner, Baz Luhrmann, Sam Bromell &#038; Craig Pearce)<br \/><em>broker<\/em> (Hirokazu Koreeda)<br \/><em>Empire of Light<\/em> (Sam Mendes)<br \/><em>bardo<\/em> (Alejandro G. Inarritu)<br \/><em>aftersun<\/em> (Charlotte Wells)<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph larva \/\/  a-font-body-m     \">\n\t<strong><em>Still to See<\/em><\/strong><br \/><em>Babylon<\/em> (Damien Chazelle)<br \/><em>nanny<\/em> (Nikyatu Jusu)<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph larva \/\/  a-font-body-m     \">\n\t<strong>*BEST INTERNATIONAL FEATURE*<\/strong><\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph larva \/\/  a-font-body-m     \">\n\t<em>(*not yet an official submission)<\/em><\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph larva \/\/  a-font-body-m     \">\n\t<strong><em>frontrunners<\/em><\/strong><br \/><em>Close<\/em> (Belgium)<br \/><em>Decision to Leave<\/em> (South Korea)<br \/><em>corsage<\/em> (Austria)<br \/><em>Holy Spider<\/em> (Denmark)<br \/><em>bardo<\/em> (Mexico)*<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph larva \/\/  a-font-body-m     \">\n\t<strong><em>Still to See<\/em><\/strong><br \/><em>alcarras<\/em> (spain)<br \/><em>All Quiet on the Western Front<\/em> (Germany)<br \/><em>Argentina, 1985<\/em> (Argentina)<br \/><em>As in Heaven<\/em> (Denmark)*<br \/><em>beautiful being<\/em> (Iceland)<br \/><em>Boy from Heaven<\/em> (Sweden)<br \/><em>Cinema Sabaya<\/em> (Israel)<br \/><em>EO<\/em> (Poland)<br \/><em>Eternal Spring<\/em> (Canada)<br \/><em>Girl Picture<\/em> (Finland)<br \/><em>Klondike<\/em> (Ukraine)<br \/><em>nostalgia<\/em> (Italy)<br \/><em>Plan 75<\/em> (Japanese)<br \/><em>Saint Omer<\/em> (France)<br \/><em>War Sailor<\/em> (Norway)<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph larva \/\/  a-font-body-m     \">\n\t<strong>*BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE*<\/strong><\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph larva \/\/  a-font-body-m     \">\n\t<strong><em>frontrunners<\/em><\/strong><br \/><em>Good Night Oppy<\/em> (Amazon)<br \/><em>navalny<\/em> (Warner Bros.\/CNN Films)<br \/><em>retrograde<\/em> (Nat Geo)<br \/><em>Fire of Love<\/em> (Nat Geo)<em><br \/>descent<\/em> (Netflix)<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph larva \/\/  a-font-body-m     \">\n\t<strong><em>Major Threats<\/em><\/strong><br \/><em>Freedom on Fire<\/em> (still seeking US distribution)<br \/><em>All the Beauty and the Bloodshed<\/em> (Neon)<br \/><em>All That Breathes<\/em> (HBO)<br \/><em>Sr.<\/em> (Netflix)<br \/><em>Last Flight Home<\/em> (MTV)<br \/><em>Bad Ax<\/em> (IFC)<br \/><em>The Return of Tanya Tucker<\/em> (Sony Classics)<br \/><em>Moonage Daydream<\/em> (Neon)<br \/><em>Hallelujah: Leonard Cohen, A Journey, A Song<\/em> (Sony Classics)<br \/><em>The Janes<\/em> (HBO)<br \/><em>The Territory<\/em> (Nat Geo)<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph larva \/\/  a-font-body-m     \">\n\t<strong><em>Possibilities<\/em><\/strong><br \/><em>Icarus: The Aftermath<\/em> (still seeking US distribution)<br \/><em>In Her Hands<\/em> (Netflix)<br \/><em>civil<\/em> (Netflix)<br \/><em>Gabby Giffords Won&#8217;t Back Down<\/em> (CNN)<br \/><em>Bitterbrush<\/em> (Magnolia)<br \/><em>Turn Every Page<\/em> (Sony Classics)<br \/><em>Salvatore: Shoemaker of Dreams<\/em> (Sony Classics)<br \/><em>My Sister Liv<\/em> (still seeking US distribution)<br \/><em>Jerry Lee Lewis: Trouble in Mind<\/em> (A24)<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph larva \/\/  a-font-body-m     \">\n\t<strong><em>Still to See<\/em><\/strong><br \/><em>aftershock<\/em> (Hulu)<br \/><em>A Compassionate Spy<\/em> (still seeking US distribution)<br \/><em>I Didn&#8217;t See You There<\/em> (still seeking US distribution)<br \/><em>The Exiles<\/em> (still seeking US distribution)<br \/><em>If These Walls Could Sing<\/em> (Disney)<br \/><em>Is That Black Enough for You?!?<\/em> (Netflix)<br \/><em>Louis Armstrong&#8217;s Black and Blues<\/em> (Apple)<br \/><em>Mickey: The Story of a Mouse<\/em> (Disney)<br \/><em>mija<\/em> (Disney)<br \/><em>Nothing Compares<\/em> (showtime)<br \/><em>The Princess<\/em> (HBO)<br \/><em>Punch 9 for Harold Washington<\/em> (still seeking US distribution)<br \/><em>Sydney<\/em> (Apple)<br \/><em>The Volcano: Rescue from Whakaari<\/em> (Netflix)<br \/><em>wildcat<\/em> (Amazon)<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph larva \/\/  a-font-body-m     \">\n\t<strong>*BEST ORIGINAL SONG*<\/strong><\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph larva \/\/  a-font-body-m     \">\n\t<strong><em>frontrunners<\/em><\/strong><br \/>\u201cHold My Hand\u201d (<em>Top Gun: Maverick<\/em>) &#8211; Lady Gaga<br \/>\u201cNobody Like U\u201d (<em>Turning Red<\/em>) \u2014 Billie Eilish &#038; Finneas<br \/>\u201cThis Is a Life\u201d (<em>Everything Everywhere All at Once<\/em>) \u2014 David Byrne, Ryan Lott &#038; Mitski<br \/>&#8220;Time&#8221; (<em>Amsterdam<\/em>) \u2014 Aubrey &#8216;Drake&#8217; Graham, Giveon Evans, Jahaan Akil Sweet &#038; Daniel Pemberton<br \/>\u201cOn My Way\u201d (<em>Marry Me<\/em>) &#8211; Jennifer Lopez<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph larva \/\/  a-font-body-m     \">\n\t<strong><em>Major Threats (rest of shortlist)<\/em><\/strong><br \/>&#8220;Carolina&#8221; (<em>Where the Crawdads Sing<\/em>) \u2014 Taylor Swift<br \/>&#8220;Vegas&#8221; (<em>Elvis<\/em>) \u2014 Doja Cat<br \/>&#8220;Not Alone&#8221; (<em>devotion<\/em>) \u2014 Joe Jonas<br \/>\u201c(You Made It Feel Like) Home\u201d (<em>Bones and All<\/em>) \u2014 Trent Reznor and Atticus Ross<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph larva \/\/  a-font-body-m     \">\n\t<strong><em>Possibilities<\/em><\/strong><br \/>&#8220;New Body Rhumba&#8221; (<em>white noise<\/em>) \u2014 James Murphy<br \/>&#8220;Applause&#8221; (<em>Tell It Like a Woman<\/em>) \u2014 Diane Warren<br \/>\u201cDust &#038; Ash\u201d (<em>The Voice of Dust and Ash<\/em>) \u2014 J. Ralph<br \/>\u201cWe Are Art\u201d (<em>We Are Art: Through the Eyes of Annalaura<\/em>) \u2014 Annalaura di Luggo &#038; Paky Di Maio<\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<p><script type=\"text\/plain\" class=\"optanon-category-C0004\">\n!function(f, b, e, v, n, t, s) {\nif (f.fbq) return;\nn = f.fbq = function() {n.callMethod ? n.callMethod.apply(n, arguments) : n.queue.push(arguments);};\nif (!f._fbq) f._fbq = n;\nn.push = n;\nn.loaded = !0;\nn.version = '2.0';\nn.queue = [];\nt = b.createElement(e);\nt.async = !0;\nt.src = v;\ns = b.getElementsByTagName(e)[0];\ns.parentNode.insertBefore(t, s);\n}(window, document, 'script', 'https:\/\/connect.facebook.net\/en_US\/fbevents.js');\nfbq('init', '352999048212581');\nfbq('track', 'PageView');\n<\/script><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>PLEASE NOTE: This forecast, assembled by The Hollywood Reporter&#8216;s executive editor of awards Scott Feinberg, reflects his best attempt to predict the behavior of the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences, note his personal preferences. He arrives at these standings by drawing upon consultations with voters and industry insiders, analysis of marketing and awards &hellip;<\/p>\n<p class=\"read-more\"> <a class=\"\" href=\"https:\/\/harchi90.com\/first-read-of-the-race-to-the-95th-oscars-the-hollywood-reporter\/\"> <span class=\"screen-reader-text\">First Read of the Race to the 95th Oscars \u2013 The Hollywood Reporter<\/span> Read More &raquo;<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","spay_email":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_is_tweetstorm":false,"jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true},"categories":[5],"tags":[],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":56796,"url":"https:\/\/harchi90.com\/academy-ceo-bill-kramer-wants-host-live-tv-producers-for-2023-oscars-the-hollywood-reporter\/","url_meta":{"origin":79737,"position":0},"title":"Academy CEO Bill Kramer Wants Host, Live TV Producers for 2023 Oscars \u2013 The Hollywood Reporter","date":"August 26, 2022","format":false,"excerpt":"Ahead of a Sept. 17 all-member meeting of the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences, newly appointed Academy CEO Bill Kramer took questions from Hollywood correspondents, signaling an era of greater transparency \u2014 with members and with non-members \u2014 from the organization behind the Oscars. Kramer will leave town\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Entertainment&quot;","img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":65869,"url":"https:\/\/harchi90.com\/chris-rock-hits-out-at-will-smiths-hostage-video-apology-for-oscars-slap\/","url_meta":{"origin":79737,"position":1},"title":"Chris Rock hits out at Will Smith&#8217;s &#8216;hostage video&#8217; apology for Oscars slap","date":"September 4, 2022","format":false,"excerpt":"Chris Rock has denounced Will Smith's apology for slapping him at the Oscars.In July, the Hollywood actor, who struck Rock on-stage after the comedian made a quip about the actor's wife Jada Pinkett Smith, discussed the incident in a video he shared in July.The actor offered an apology to the\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Entertainment&quot;","img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":60347,"url":"https:\/\/harchi90.com\/chris-rock-declined-to-host-2023-oscars-the-hollywood-reporter\/","url_meta":{"origin":79737,"position":2},"title":"Chris Rock Declined to Host 2023 Oscars \u2013 The Hollywood Reporter","date":"August 30, 2022","format":false,"excerpt":"Chris Rock has declined an offer to host the 2023 Academy Awards, the comedian reportedly said during his Sunday night show at the Arizona Financial Theater in downtown Phoenix. According to a report from the Arizona Republic, Rock said the Academy asked him to return to host for a third\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Entertainment&quot;","img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":88139,"url":"https:\/\/harchi90.com\/oscars-voters-say-theyll-never-back-will-smith-for-emancipation-awards\/","url_meta":{"origin":79737,"position":3},"title":"Oscars voters say they&#8217;ll never back Will Smith for &#8216;Emancipation&#8217; awards","date":"October 5, 2022","format":false,"excerpt":"Actor Will Smith is already receiving a chilly reception from Oscar voters for his role in the hotly anticipated film \u201cEmancipation.\u201d Many Academy of Motion Picture Arts & Sciences members say they'll never support him after his infamous slapping of Chris Rock, a report said Tuesday. Apple plans to release\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Entertainment&quot;","img":{"alt_text":"Emancipation","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/nypost.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2022\/10\/Film-Emancipation.jpg?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":46696,"url":"https:\/\/harchi90.com\/sacheen-littlefeather-receives-formal-apology-for-mistreatment-at-1973-oscars\/","url_meta":{"origin":79737,"position":4},"title":"Sacheen Littlefeather receives formal apology for mistreatment at 1973 Oscars","date":"August 16, 2022","format":false,"excerpt":"The Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences has formally apologized to Sacheen Littlefeather for her mistreatment at the 1973 Academy Awards, where the Native American actress and civil rights activist was booed and ridiculed as she declined the Best Actor award on Marlon Brando's behalf.\"The abuse you endured because\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Entertainment&quot;","img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]}],"fifu_image_url":"https:\/\/www.hollywoodreporter.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/12\/Everything-Everywhere-At-Once-Opening-Night-Film-Still-H-2021.jpg?w=1024","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/harchi90.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/79737"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/harchi90.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/harchi90.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/harchi90.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/harchi90.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=79737"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/harchi90.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/79737\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/harchi90.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=79737"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/harchi90.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=79737"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/harchi90.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=79737"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}