{"id":98874,"date":"2022-10-16T16:53:02","date_gmt":"2022-10-16T16:53:02","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/harchi90.com\/college-football-sp-rankings-after-week-7\/"},"modified":"2022-10-16T16:53:02","modified_gmt":"2022-10-16T16:53:02","slug":"college-football-sp-rankings-after-week-7","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/harchi90.com\/college-football-sp-rankings-after-week-7\/","title":{"rendered":"College football SP+ rankings after Week 7"},"content":{"rendered":"<div>\n<p>It&#8217;s been 21 years since Tennessee finished in the AP top five.  it had <i>almost<\/i> been that long since the Vols had beaten Alabama, too, but Saturday&#8217;s thrilling 52-49 win in Knoxville is allowing UT fans to dream big again.  The advanced stats, meanwhile, are backing up the dreams.<\/p>\n<p>In this week&#8217;s SP+ rankings, the Vols jumped to fifth.  If they finish there, it would be their best ranking since 1999. This being a predictive ranking and not a measure of r\u00e9sum\u00e9s, they are still behind Bama overall (though the gap is closing quickly).  But considering they are now given at least 71% win probability in five of their final six regular-season games, the odds of a huge season &#8212; first 10-win season since 2007?  first 11-win season since 2001?  first 12-win season since 1998?  &#8212; are only increasing.<\/p>\n<p>Below are this week&#8217;s SP+ rankings.  What is SP+?  In a single sentence, <strong>it&#8217;s a tempo- and opponent-adjusted measure of college football efficiency<\/strong>.  I created the system at Football Outsiders in 2008, and as my experience with both college football and its stats has grown, I have made quite a few tweaks to the system.<\/p>\n<p><strong>SP+ is indeed intended to be predictive and forward-facing.<\/strong> It is not a r\u00e9sum\u00e9 ranking that gives credit for big wins or particularly brave scheduling &#8212; no good predictive system is.  It is simply a measure of the most sustainable and predictable aspects of football.  If you&#8217;re lucky or unimpressive in a win, your rating will probably fall.  If you&#8217;re strong and unlucky in a loss, it will probably rise.<\/p>\n<aside class=\"espn-plus-container-wrapper\" data-behavior=\"espnplus_login\">\n<\/aside>\n<\/div>\n<p>    .<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>It&#8217;s been 21 years since Tennessee finished in the AP top five. it had almost been that long since the Vols had beaten Alabama, too, but Saturday&#8217;s thrilling 52-49 win in Knoxville is allowing UT fans to dream big again. The advanced stats, meanwhile, are backing up the dreams. In this week&#8217;s SP+ rankings, the &hellip;<\/p>\n<p class=\"read-more\"> <a class=\"\" href=\"https:\/\/harchi90.com\/college-football-sp-rankings-after-week-7\/\"> <span class=\"screen-reader-text\">College football SP+ rankings after Week 7<\/span> Read More &raquo;<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","spay_email":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_is_tweetstorm":false,"jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true},"categories":[6],"tags":[5368,20548,11366,1832,47,8900,8902,3355,3277,1822,1823,2264,1827,7660,4465,8999,2357,1828,8903,9489,5371,2365,1831],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":105830,"url":"https:\/\/harchi90.com\/college-football-sp-rankings-after-week-8\/","url_meta":{"origin":98874,"position":0},"title":"College football SP+ rankings after Week 8","date":"October 23, 2022","format":false,"excerpt":"For most of the best teams in college football, Week 8 didn't move the needle all that much. Georgia and Michigan were idle, Tennessee played UT Martin, Alabama worked methodically through its annual post-loss blowout of Mississippi State, and Ohio State dominated an offense-less Iowa.There were plenty of thrilling games,\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Sports&quot;","img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":105946,"url":"https:\/\/harchi90.com\/ap-top-25-lsu-re-enters-at-no-18-ahead-of-visit-from-bama\/","url_meta":{"origin":98874,"position":1},"title":"AP Top 25: LSU re-enters at No.  18 ahead of visit from &#8216;Bama","date":"October 23, 2022","format":false,"excerpt":"LSU re-entered The Associated Press College Football poll at No. 18 on Sunday and No. 25 South Carolina earned a ranking for the first time in four seasons.The first six teams in the AP Top 25 presented by Regions Bank held their spots after either winning and not playing this\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Sports&quot;","img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":72894,"url":"https:\/\/harchi90.com\/college-football-sp-rankings-after-week-2\/","url_meta":{"origin":98874,"position":2},"title":"College football SP+ rankings after Week 2","date":"September 11, 2022","format":false,"excerpt":"The verbiage almost never changes. Each week, when I put out updated SP+ rankings, I say SP+ is \"intended to be predictive and forward-facing. It is not a r\u00e9sum\u00e9 ranking that gives credit for big wins or particularly brave scheduling -- no good predictive system is. It is simply a\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Sports&quot;","img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":77696,"url":"https:\/\/harchi90.com\/college-football-sp-rankings-after-week-4\/","url_meta":{"origin":98874,"position":3},"title":"College football SP+ rankings after Week 4","date":"September 25, 2022","format":false,"excerpt":"In Week 4 of the 2022 college football season, the teams that hadn't yet looked vulnerable finally did so (except Minnesota, anyway). Georgia dilly-dallied for long periods in its win over Kent State, Michigan had to lean heavily on Blake Corum to stay ahead of Maryland, USC needed all of\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Sports&quot;","img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":92108,"url":"https:\/\/harchi90.com\/mandels-final-thoughts-could-tide-be-vulnerable-vs-vols-plus-sooner-madness-la-greatness\/","url_meta":{"origin":98874,"position":4},"title":"Mandel&#8217;s Final Thoughts: Could Tide be vulnerable vs.  Vols?  Plus Sooner madness, LA greatness","date":"October 9, 2022","format":false,"excerpt":"And now, 23 Final Thoughts from a Saturday that began at 11 am Dallas time in front of 90,000 at the Cotton Bowl and ended at 11:30 pm Palo Alto time in front of a few thousand half-awake fans at Stanford Stadium who unwittingly ( and unfortunately for them) saw\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Sports&quot;","img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":100723,"url":"https:\/\/harchi90.com\/stock-up-stock-down-tennessee-topples-alabama-michigan-pounds-penn-state-and-usc-suffers-first-defeat-against-utah\/","url_meta":{"origin":98874,"position":5},"title":"Stock Up\/Stock Down: Tennessee Topples Alabama, Michigan Pounds Penn State And USC Suffers First Defeat Against Utah","date":"October 18, 2022","format":false,"excerpt":"Couldn't find the Buckeyes on TV this weekend? me neither. Luckily for Ohio State fans, there was no shortage of white-knuckle action around college football during the Buckeye bye week, as more than one national power picked up their first loss and a couple other programs made statements as legit\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Sports&quot;","img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]}],"fifu_image_url":"https:\/\/a1.espncdn.com\/combiner\/i?img=\/photo\/2022\/1008\/r1072763_1296x729_16-9.jpg","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/harchi90.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/98874"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/harchi90.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/harchi90.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/harchi90.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/harchi90.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=98874"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/harchi90.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/98874\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/harchi90.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=98874"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/harchi90.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=98874"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/harchi90.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=98874"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}